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  • #83545
    Avatar photoPhil Dutré
    Participant

    I wrote a little blog post about the statistics of drawing cards, relevant fro card-based activation mechanics.

    https://wargaming-mechanics.blogspot.be/2018/02/drawing-cards-from-deck.html

    Here’s a short summary of the results:

    • standard playing deck, including one joker
    • joker reshuffles the deck
    • runs of the same colour showing up are counted using a Python computer program
    • 100 million runs, average run length (cards of same colour) 1.96

     

    #83589
    Avatar photoMartinR
    Participant

    Thanks Phil, I thought that was really interesting.

    "Mistakes in the initial deployment cannot be rectified" - Helmuth von Moltke

    #83600
    Avatar photoGuy Farrish
    Participant

    I did too, but I’m highly suspicious as it seems to confirm what I would have thought and I never get probability right!

     

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